Home Prices Could Surge 35 Percent Without Causing Home Affordability to Drop

A big drop in home prices the past six years combined with record low mortgage rates will cause housing prices to surge, according to Raj Dosaj, vice president of the behavioral library and home price index at LPS Applied Analytics. Raj Dosaj made this bold statement in a webinar hosted by HousingWire. He went on to say the increase in home prices won't be as big if current mortgage rates move higher, which analysts expect to happen.

Home Prices Could Surge 35 Percent Without Causing Home Affordability to DropHome affordability was at a record high in 2012 and homes remain more affordable then ever. The National Association of Realtors' Housing Affordability Index stood at a record high of 198.2 in November 2013. The recovery in home prices has already started the past year, so Raj Dosaj's prediction is quite bold. The NAR's January Existing-Home Sales Index showed the median home price up 12.3 from January 2012.

Loan Type
Purchase    Refinance
Location
State/City    Zip Code
Loan Amt Points FICO % Down
  
$
30 yr fixed refi in 23223, All points, Credit score: 740+     Sort by:
Lender
APR
Rate
Cost & Fees
Notes
 
30 yr fixed Mortgage Loan from JG Wentworth Home Lending
JG Wentworth Home Lending
https://www.brimg.net/system/img/inst/10054_logo.gif
300000
Refinance
4.258
4.250
USD
JG Wentworth Home Lending Logo
NMLS # 2925
State Lic # MC-1875
at 0.000 pts
45 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $299
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Bank of Oak Ridge
Bank of Oak Ridge
300000
Refinance
4.295
4.250
USD
Bank of Oak Ridge
4.295%
4/18/2019
4.250%
at 0.250 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $853
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Northwest Federal Credit Union
Northwest Federal Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.316
4.250
USD
Northwest Federal Credit Union
4.316%
4/17/2019
4.250%
at 0.750 pts
45 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $79
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Bank of America
Bank of America
300000
Refinance
4.343
4.250
USD
Bank of America
4.343%
4/17/2019
4.250%
at 0.671 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $1,289
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Apple Federal Credit Union
Apple Federal Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.345
4.250
USD
Apple Federal Credit Union
4.345%
4/17/2019
4.250%
at 1.000 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $352
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from TD Bank, NA
TD Bank, NA
300000
Refinance
4.278
4.250
USD
TD Bank, NA
4.278%
4/19/2019
4.250%
at 0.000 pts
45 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $982
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from State Department Federal Credit Union
State Department Federal Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.432
4.375
USD
State Department Federal Credit Union
4.432%
4/22/2019
4.375%
at 0.000 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,497.86
Fees in APR: $2,000
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from LincolnWay Community Bank
LincolnWay Community Bank
300000
Refinance
4.155
4.125
USD
LincolnWay Community Bank
4.155%
4/23/2019
4.125%
at 0.000 pts
30 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,453.95
Fees in APR: $1,085
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Virginia Credit Union
Virginia Credit Union
300000
Refinance
4.328
4.250
USD
Virginia Credit Union
4.328%
4/23/2019
4.250%
at 0.375 pts
45 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,475.82
Fees in APR: $1,650
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Fulton Bank, NA
Fulton Bank, NA
300000
Refinance
4.539
4.500
USD
Fulton Bank, NA
4.539%
4/23/2019
4.500%
at 0.125 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,520.06
Fees in APR: $1,007
 
 
30 yr fixed mtg refi Mortgage Loan from Santander Bank, N.A.
Santander Bank, N.A.
300000
Refinance
4.557
4.500
USD
Santander Bank, N.A.
4.557%
4/23/2019
4.500%
at 0.000 pts
60 day lock rate
Est payment: $1,520.06
Fees in APR: $2,004
 
 

Mortage Data Provided by Bankrate.com Many lenders have different rates on their own Websites than those posted on Bankrate.com. In order to get the Bankrate.com rate, please identify yourself as a Bankrate.com customer. If you believe that you have received an inaccurate quote or are otherwise not satisfied with the services provided to you by the lender you choose, please click here.

The rates above were collected by Bankrate.com on the dates specified. Rates are subject to change without notice and may vary from branch to branch. Rate/APR and terms may vary based on the creditworthiness of the individual and the extent to which the loan differs from the one used for Bankrate.com quotes. For criteria used in surveys of rates above, click here. These quotes are from banks, thrifts, and brokers, some of whom have paid for a link to their own Web site, where you can find additional information.






In the hardest hit areas of the county, home prices have fallen by more than 50 percent from the top of the housing boom. Also during this time, mortgage rates have been driven to record lows due to the Federal Reserve's actions to drive rates lower. Mortgage rates today on 30 year conforming loans are averaging 3.55 percent but you can find lenders quoting mortgage rates well below the average.

Housing affordability is high and mortgage rates are low but unfortunately, millions of potential homeowners can't take advantage of this because lending restrictions are tighter than ever. During the housing boom, lenders allowed for up to 100 percent financing with lending restrictions being relaxed to the point of a buyer not being required to produce any documentation on their financial status or income to buy a home.

Since the bust, lenders are now requiring a 20 percent down payment, higher credit scores, and more stringent underwriting restrictions, which have put the option of buying a home out of reach for millions of people. Fortunately, both the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the Federal Housing Administration are working on steps to persuade lenders to issue more loans.

Another factor that will contribute to higher home prices is the unemployment rate. As long as the unemployment rate remains high and there is fear of losing a job, potential home buyers will hold back on purchasing. Once the economy improves dramatically and the unemployment rate falls, home prices will move higher.
 
 
Author: Brian McKay
March 4th, 2013
Posted in: Mortgage Rates